Honest scorecard — every recorded signal, every outcome

How Sigmatic's public signals have actually performed

Every BUY, WAIT, and SELL the app recorded for the public intraday scope, scored against the actual stored minute bars 30, 60, and 120 minutes after the call. WAIT counts are surfaced separately because a WAIT is not a directional bet — it's the absence of one. Disclosures · Back to the dashboard

Hit rate (+120 min)

42.4%

784 winners / 1851 measured

Expectancy per call

-0.3%

Average signed return per directional call. Hit rate alone hides this.

Worst single session

-131.8%

Worst sum of signed returns from any one trading day in this window.

Window: Mar 29, 2026 → May 6, 2026 (NY) · 35 sessions. 1851 of 3107 directional calls have +120m outcomes, 66,494 WAIT calls, 21 distinct symbols. Data last refreshed May 6, 5:45 PM ET (page rendered May 8, 11:21 PM ET).

Best + worst session in window

Best session+54.2%

Apr 24, 2026 · 146 of 186 directional calls measured · hit rate 69.9%

Worst session-131.8%

Apr 23, 2026 · 286 of 370 directional calls measured · hit rate 38.1%

Daily roll · last 35 sessions

Session (NY)	Directional calls	With outcomes	Hit rate	Signed return
May 6, 2026	267	79	59.5%	-57.7%
May 5, 2026	120	39	53.8%	+5.1%
May 4, 2026	198	137	24.8%	-110.3%
May 1, 2026	110	61	32.8%	+16.4%
Apr 30, 2026	124	0	—	—
Apr 29, 2026	15	5	100.0%	+3.9%
Apr 28, 2026	270	202	30.7%	-90.6%
Apr 27, 2026	211	162	30.2%	-24.4%
Apr 24, 2026	186	146	69.9%	+54.2%
Apr 23, 2026	370	286	38.1%	-131.8%
Apr 22, 2026	214	172	65.7%	+14.8%
Apr 21, 2026	489	258	45.3%	-50.5%
Apr 20, 2026	302	239	28.5%	-108.6%
Apr 19, 2026	0	0	—	—
Apr 18, 2026	0	0	—	—
Apr 17, 2026	104	43	76.7%	+10.0%
Apr 16, 2026	14	8	25.0%	-2.7%
Apr 15, 2026	41	14	14.3%	-2.0%
Apr 14, 2026	16	0	—	—
Apr 13, 2026	24	0	—	—
Apr 12, 2026	0	0	—	—
Apr 11, 2026	0	0	—	—
Apr 10, 2026	3	0	—	—
Apr 9, 2026	0	0	—	—
Apr 8, 2026	11	0	—	—
Apr 7, 2026	4	0	—	—
Apr 6, 2026	1	0	—	—
Apr 5, 2026	0	0	—	—
Apr 4, 2026	0	0	—	—
Apr 3, 2026	0	0	—	—
Apr 2, 2026	4	0	—	—
Apr 1, 2026	5	0	—	—
Mar 31, 2026	4	0	—	—
Mar 30, 2026	0	0	—	—
Mar 29, 2026	0	0	—	—

Hit rate counts BUY + SELL calls whose +120 min bar moved in the predicted direction. Sessions with zero directional calls don't appear (WAIT-only days are summarized in the headline counts above).

Data quality · tick counts in this window

Full ticks80

Every symbol the scanner attempted at this minute returned price data. Most ticks in a healthy window land here.

Partial ticks55

At least one symbol failed at this minute, but the broad-market posture symbols (QQQ + SPY) did return data. Signals are honored.

Outage ticks6

The scanner couldn't reach the data provider at this minute. Signals from these ticks are surfaced but flagged.

In flight2

The tick is still recording — the cron started but hasn't logged its end yet. A persistent nonzero count here signals stuck handlers.

All four buckets count ticks, not signals — one tick is one cron run that fanned out across the symbol universe. 32 of 35 sessions in this window pre-date the per-tick history table (started 2026-05-02) — those sessions don't contribute to these counts.

62 provider ticks in the last 90 days were degraded (partial completion, handler error, or timeout). The most recent 50 are surfaced below.

May 7, 1:30 PM handler-timeout 0 of 13 symbols affected
May 6, 2:00 PM handler-timeout 0 of 13 symbols affected
May 6, 12:00 PM handler-timeout 0 of 13 symbols affected
May 6, 11:15 AM partial-completion 0 of 13 symbols affected
May 5, 1:15 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 5, 1:00 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 5, 12:45 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 5, 12:30 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 5, 12:15 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 5, 12:00 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 5, 11:45 AM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 5, 11:30 AM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 5, 11:15 AM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 5, 11:00 AM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 4:55 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 4:50 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 4:45 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 4:45 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 4:40 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 4:35 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 4:30 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 4:30 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 4:25 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 4:20 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 4:15 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 4:15 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 4:10 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 4:05 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 4:00 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 4:00 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 3:55 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 3:50 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 3:45 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 3:45 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 3:40 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 3:35 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 3:30 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 3:30 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 3:25 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 3:20 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 3:15 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 3:15 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 3:10 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 3:05 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 3:00 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 3:00 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 2:45 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 2:30 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 2:15 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected
May 4, 2:00 PM partial-completion 13 of 13 symbols affected

Why we don't lead with win rate

Win rate is the easiest number to inflate. A signal generator that calls a 0.1% move a “win” can hit 70% hit rate while losing money on every losing trade because the average loss is bigger than the average win. That's why this page leads with three numbers in equal weight:

Hit rate — share of directional calls (BUY + SELL) that moved the predicted direction 120 minutes later. Easy to read but easy to game.
Expectancy — average signed return per directional call. A 60% hit rate paired with +0.05% expectancy is a worse engine than a 45% hit rate paired with +0.4% expectancy. This is the number that pays the bills.
Worst session— the worst single trading day's sum of signed returns. Tells you what the engine looks like on a bad day, not just an average day.

Read all three together. A scorecard that surfaces only one of them is a marketing pitch.

Corrections log

Sigmatic stores any after-the-fact correction to a signal or outcome (with operator email, before/after payload, and rationale) in an append-only audit table. The dashboard never silently rewrites history — if a number on this page changes after the fact, there's a row in the corrections log explaining why.

0 corrections recorded since the audit table started accumulating data on 2026-05-02. Zero corrections so far — the dashboard's recorded history matches what was shown live.

Not investment advice.This scorecard reflects what the public intraday scanner has done so far — it's a measurement, not a forecast. Past performance does not predict future results. Every signal on this page was generated by the same engine that runs the public dashboard, with no override or curation. R-based math (entry / stop / target / risk-reward) becomes available once the new outcomes materializer (deployed 2026-05-02) has run for a full window of trading sessions; until then, hit rate and signed-return metrics are the load-bearing numbers.

Terms Disclosures How it works